Thursday, November 20, 4:15pm, 9206
 
Robert M Haralick  
(Penn State)
 
"The Torah Codes: The Controversy"
 
McKay et. al. argued that the Torah code experiments
of Witztum, Rips, and Rosenberg on the Genesis text succeeded
because one way or another they selectively omitted appellations
to make the experiment produce a seemingly statistically significant
result. To demonstrate this they cooked an experiment using a
Hebrew text of War and Peace. They showed that by selective
omissions and some spelling stretches their Monte Carlo experiment
yielded a comparably small probability. In essence, they argued
that had there been no stretches and had a full set of appellations
been used, neither the rejection of the Null hypothesis of no
Torah Code effect for the experiment using the Genesis
text nor the rejection of the Null hypothesis for their cooked
experiment using the War and Peace text would have happened.
In this talk we describe an experiment which proves the McKay
et. al argument to be fallacious. We combine the appellation lists
of McKay et. al. and Witztum et. al. to form a more complete list
of appellations with no selected omissions. We designed an improved
protocol for the experiment using statistically more powerful
compactness measures and an ELS Random Placement control text
population. We tested the Null hypothesis of no Torah code effect
against four different alternative hypotheses. Our experiments
show that the combined list of appellations has the same or a
slightly stronger effect in the Genesis text than the original
list for three out of the four alternative hypotheses and a slightly
weaker effect for the fourth alternative hypothesis. For the McKay
list in the War and Peace text there was a significant decrease
in the effect for all four alternative hypotheses. And with the
improved protocol, the combined list had a statistically insignificant
effect in the War and Peace text.
These results provide evidence of the fallaciousness of McKay
et. al.'s assertion that had a more full list of appellations
been used, the Null hypothesis of no Torah code effect would not
have been rejected in both the Genesis text and the War
and Peace text.
 
The Colloquium is supported by generous
contributions from the CUNY Faculty Development Program, Bloomberg,
Information Builders, Inc. and qbt Systems, Inc.
 
 
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